Week 6 NFL Value Picks: ATS, Moneylines & Totals
November 20, 2019
After a Week 4 filled with upsets, Week 5 showcased a second seven underdogs covering the six and spread winning . With value appearing in spreads, game totals, and money-lines, a opportunity to take advantage of markets is provided by Week 6.
A conflict between two struggling teams, the 1-3-1 Arizona Cardinals return home to confront the Atlanta Falcons that are 1-4. Although Arizona notched their first win over Cincinnati, the Falcons fell 53-32 into the Houston Texans. With the line starting at -2.5 in favor of the Falcons, 81 percent of wagers ago Atlanta so much better.
Looking at the offense of Atlanta, the Falcons stay a one-dimensional crime. Currently, the team ranks 28th in rushing yards per game (67.6), however third in passing yards per game (313.2). While this could pose a problem in most matchups, Arizona permits the sixth-most passing yards to opposing signal callers (1,420). Arizona has enabled this year to attain 23 full points to every opponent.
Arizona stays restricted by injuries to online and their wide receivers. Kyler Murray has obtained 21 sacks this season, which ranks third in the NFL. Atlanta struggles to generate stress, with only 1.2 sacks per game. They stay above average in QB Hurries and Hits, suggesting some regression .
Together with Arizonas defense intrusion generation to enemy sign callers, NFL odds point to the Falcons as a good bet about the Week card.
Sunday October 13th, 2019 in LA Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)
Line: On 49
After opening at 48.5-points, the over/under from the 49ers-Rams game has already jumped a half stage. Both San Francisco and Los Angeles position within the top five in total yards recorded per game, putting up for fireworks.
San Franciscos offense picked up where it left off coming out of the Week 4 bye. So far, the 49ers direct the entire NFL rushing yards per game. They also rank fifth in total offense, together with 427.2 total yards per contest. The Rams position middle-of-the-pack in metrics that are most defensive, however permitted at 96 rushing yards to Chris Carson, Nick Chubb, also Christian McCaffrey this year.
On the opposite side, the Rams check in with 413.6 full yards of offense per game. Jared Goff ranks third using 1,649 passing yards this season, and San Francisco seems more vulnerable to the pass. Though the 49ers put the clamps on Mason Rudolph and Baker Mayfield within their last two games, they let Andy Dalton to notch 311 passing yards in Week 2.
With both crimes humming, this complete looks likely to eclipse 50-points by game time. NFL chances stage to this over in 49-points as a bet that is strong.
Sunday October 13th, 2019 at Aarowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
Line: Houston +5
Opening at -8.5-points, the lineup has dropped to Chiefs -5.5-points, even despite Kansas City taking 60 percent of the public wagers. Right now, it seems early this past week, some money that is sharp may have backed Houston. With a ton of injuries on the Kansas City side, Houston resembles a sharp early week play.
This matchup should afford Houston room to maneuver the ball, although both crimes have been surging of late. Kansas City ranks in rushing yards allowed 9, third-worst. Before losing defensive tackle, Chris Jones, into a groin injury this occurred. Houston currently ranks 10th in rushing yards per game (129.4), together with Carlos Hyde along with Duke Johnson providing a two-headed assault.
In terms of the Chiefs crime, accidents continue to pile up here as well. Even though Patrick Mahomes gutted out an ankle injury, Sammy Watkins, Eric Fisher, and Andrew Wylie completed Week 5 to the bench. While facing 13 quarterback hurries this caused Mahomes to consume 11 hits. On offense, the Chiefs seem thin with Tyreek Hill questionable for Week 6.
Battling with accidents and matchup problems Kansas City resembles a fade for our NFL Picks. People trends and line movement point because of a drama within an underdog to Houston.
Best Bet: Falcons -1.5 in Bovada
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Author : Wytze Russchen
